Decreased patient discharges on weekends part 3: what do the leaders tell us?

BACKGROUND: Emergency department (ED) crowding is a significant challenge to providing safe and quality care to patients. We know that hospital and ED crowding is exacerbated on Mondays because fewer in-patients are discharged on the weekend. We evaluated barriers and potential solutions to improve in-patient flow and diminished weekend discharges, in hopes of decreasing the severe ED crowding observed on Mondays. METHODS: In this observational study, we conducted interviews of (a) leaders at The Ottawa Hospital, a major academic health sciences centre (nursing, allied health, physicians), and (b) leaders of community facilities (long-term care and chronic hospital) that receive patients from the hospital, and (c) home care. Each interview was conducted individually and addressed perceived barriers to the discharge of hospital in-patients on weekends as well as potential solutions. An inductive thematic analysis was conducted whereby themes were organized into a summary table of barriers and solutions. RESULTS: We interviewed 40 leaders including 30 nursing, physician, and allied health leaders from the hospital as well as 10 senior personnel from community facilities and home care. Many barriers to weekend discharges were identified, highlighting that this problem is complex with many interdependent internal and external factors. Fortunately, many specific potential solutions were suggested, in immediate, short-term and long-term time horizons. While many solutions require additional resources, others require a culture change whereby hospital and community stakeholders recognize that services must be provided consistently, seven days a week. INTERPRETATION: We have identified the complex and interdependent barriers to weekend discharges of in-patients. There are numerous specific opportunities for hospital staff and services, physicians, and community facilities to provide the same patient care on weekends as on weekdays. This will lead to improved patient flow and safety, and to decreased ED crowding on Mondays.

ABSTRAIT: CONTEXTE: Le surpeuplement des services d'urgence (SU) est un défi important pour fournir des soins sécuritaires et de qualité aux patients. Nous savons que le surpeuplement des hôpitaux et des urgences est exacerbé le lundi parce que moins de patients hospitalisés reçoivent leur congé le week-end. Nous avons évalué les obstacles et les solutions potentielles pour améliorer le flux de patients hospitalisés et diminuer les congés de fin de semaine, dans l'espoir de réduire le surpeuplement sévère observé le lundi. MéTHODES: Dans cette étude observationnelle, nous avons interviewé (a) des dirigeants de l'Hôpital d'Ottawa, un important centre universitaire des sciences de la santé (soins infirmiers, soins paramédicaux, médecins), et (b) des dirigeants d'établissements communautaires (soins de longue durée et hôpitaux de soins chroniques) qui reçoivent des patients de l'hôpital et (c) des soins à domicile. Chaque entrevue a été menée individuellement et a abordé les obstacles perçus au congé des patients hospitalisés le week-end ainsi que les solutions potentielles. Une analyse thématique inductive a été menée, dans le cadre de laquelle les thèmes ont été organisés en un tableau récapitulatif des obstacles et des solutions RéSULTATS: Nous avons interviewé 40 dirigeants, dont 30 chefs de file des soins infirmiers, des médecins et des professions paramédicales de l'hôpital, ainsi que 10 cadres supérieurs d'établissements communautaires et de soins à domicile. De nombreux obstacles aux congés de fin de semaine ont été cernés, ce qui souligne que ce problème est complexe et qu'il comporte de nombreux facteurs internes et externes interdépendants. Heureusement, de nombreuses solutions potentielles spécifiques ont été proposées, à court terme et à long terme. Bien que de nombreuses solutions exigent des ressources supplémentaires, d'autres exigent un changement de culture par lequel les intervenants hospitaliers et communautaires reconnaissent que les services doivent être fournis de façon uniforme, sept jours par semaine. INTERPRéTATION: Nous avons identifié les obstacles complexes et interdépendants aux sorties de fin de semaine des patients hospitalisés. Il existe de nombreuses possibilités précises pour le personnel et les services hospitaliers, les médecins et les établissements communautaires d'offrir les mêmes soins aux patients les fins de semaine que les jours de semaine. Cela permettra d'améliorer la circulation et la sécurité des patients, et de réduire le surpeuplement des urgences le lundi.

Presentations, management and outcomes of postoperative bariatric patients seen in the emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Bariatric surgery is becoming increasingly common and postoperative patients often present to the emergency department (ED) with complications. We sought to describe the presenting complaints, management, and outcomes of postoperative bariatric surgery patients seen in the ED. METHODS: We conducted a health records review of 300 consecutive postoperative Roux-en-Y bypass surgery patients who presented to two tertiary care EDs of a major bariatric surgery center within one year of surgery. Cases were identified using a data analytic tool, and two evaluators abstracted clinical variables, imaging, treatments, and outcomes using the electronic health record. Attending emergency physicians verified the data and an experienced bariatric surgeon interpreted the computed tomography (CT) results and surgical procedures. RESULTS: We included 300 patients with mean age 43.0 years, 89.7% female. Of these, 70.0% presented within 30 days of surgery and 41.7% were admitted to hospital. ED treatments included intravenous fluids (67.0%), antiemetics (53.3%), and analgesia (61.9%). Patients presenting within 30 days of surgery were more likely to undergo a CT (74.3% vs 63.3%; p = 0.06) and to have clinically important CT findings (31.9% vs 6.6%; p ≤0.001). More of the ≤30-day patients were admitted to hospital (46.2% vs 31.1%; p = 0.02). While a higher proportion of patients presenting after 30 days underwent a procedure, a large number of those were not directly related to bariatric surgery, such as appendectomy and cholecystectomy. Of the 34 patients undergoing a procedure, the majority presented with abdominal pain (76.5%). CONCLUSION: This is the first detailed health records review of postoperative bariatric patients seen in the ED in the emergency medicine literature. Those presenting with abdominal pain were more likely to undergo CT abdomen and a surgical procedure. Similarly, those presenting within 30 days of surgery were more likely to have significant CT findings and require hospital admission. Others presenting with primarily nausea and vomiting may improve with ED symptom management and be discharged home with bariatric team follow-up.

Emergency physician gender and head computed tomography orders for older adults who have fallen.

OBJECTIVE: Physicians vary in their computed tomography (CT) scan usage. It remains unclear how physician gender relates to clinical practice or patient outcomes. The aim of this study was to assess the association between physician gender and decision to order head CT scans for older emergency patients who had fallen. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of a prospective observational cohort study conducted in 11 hospital emergency departments (EDs) in Canada and the United States. The primary study enrolled patients who were 65 years and older who presented to the ED after a fall. The analysis evaluated treating physician gender adjusted for multiple clinical variables. Primary analysis used a hierarchical logistic regression model to evaluate the association between treating physician gender and the patient receiving a head CT scan. Secondary analysis reported the adjusted odds ratio (OR) for diagnosing intracranial bleeding by physician gender. RESULTS: There were 3663 patients and 256 physicians included in the primary analysis. In the adjusted analysis, women physicians were no more likely to order a head CT than men (OR 1.26, 95% confidence interval 0.98-1.61). In the secondary analysis of 2294 patients who received a head CT, physician gender was not associated with finding a clinically important intracranial bleed. CONCLUSIONS: There was no significant association between physician gender and ordering head CT scans for older emergency patients who had fallen. For patients where CT scans were ordered, there was no significant relationship between physician gender and the diagnosis of clinically important intracranial bleeding.

Assessment of physician compliance to the CAEP 2021 Atrial Fibrillation Best Practices Checklist for rate and rhythm control in the emergency department.

OBJECTIVES: Acute atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF/AFL) are common arrhythmias treated in the emergency department (ED). The 2021 CAEP Best Practices Checklist provides clear recommendations for management of patients with acute AF/AFL. This study aimed to evaluate physician compliance to Checklist recommendations for risk assessment and ED management of AF/AFL. METHODS: This health records review assessed the management of adult patients presenting to two tertiary care EDs for management of acute AF/AFL from January to August, 2022. All ECGs demonstrating AF/AFL with a heart rate greater than 100 were compiled to capture primary and secondary causes. All visits were assessed for rate and rhythm control management, adverse events, return to ED, and safety criteria. Study physicians classified safety criteria from the Checklist into high and moderate concerns. The primary outcome was the proportion of cases with safety concerns and adverse events occurring during management in the ED. Data were analyzed using simple descriptive statistics. RESULTS: We included 429 patients with a mean age of 67.7 years and 57.1% male. ED management included rate control (20.4%), electrical (40.1%), and pharmacological (20.1%) cardioversion. Adverse events occurred in 9.5% of cases: 12.5% in rate control, 13.4% in electrical cardioversion, and 6.9% in pharmacologic cardioversion. Overall, 7.9% of cases had management safety concerns. Moderate safety concerns occurred in 4.9% of cases including failure to attain recommended heart rate at time of discharge (3.9%). Severe concerns were identified in 3.0% of cases including failure to cardiovert unstable patients (1.2%). The 30-day return-to-ED rate was 16.5% secondary to AF/AFL. CONCLUSION: ED management of AF/AFL was consistent with the CAEP Checklist and was safe overall. Opportunities for optimizing care include attaining recommended targets during rate control, avoidance of calcium channel and beta blockers in patients with systolic dysfunction, and earlier cardioversion for clinically unstable patients.

ABSTRAIT: OBJECTIFS: La fibrillation auriculaire aiguë et le flutter (FA/FAT) sont des arythmies courantes traitées aux urgences (SU). La liste de vérification des pratiques exemplaires 2021 du CAEP fournit des recommandations claires pour la prise en charge des patients atteints de FA/FAT aiguës. Cette étude visait à évaluer la conformité des médecins aux recommandations de la liste de contrôle pour l'évaluation des risques et la gestion de la FA/FAT. MéTHODES: Cet examen des dossiers de santé a évalué la prise en charge des patients adultes qui se sont présentés à deux urgences de soins tertiaires pour la prise en charge des FA/FAT aiguës de janvier à août 2022. Tous les ECG démontrant une FA/FAT avec une fréquence cardiaque supérieure à 100 ont été compilés pour capturer les causes primaires et secondaires. Toutes les visites ont été évaluées pour la gestion du contrôle des taux et du rythme, les événements indésirables, le retour à l'urgence et les critères de sécurité. Les médecins de l'étude ont classé les critères d'innocuité de la liste de contrôle en préoccupations élevées et modérées. Le résultat principal était la proportion de cas présentant des préoccupations en matière de sécurité et des événements indésirables survenant pendant la prise en charge à l'urgence. Les données ont été analysées à l'aide de statistiques descriptives simples. RéSULTATS: Nous avons inclus 429 patients avec un âge moyen de 67.7 ans et 57.1% d'hommes. La prise en charge de l'urgence comprenait une cardioversion contrôlée (20.4 %), électrique (40.1 %) et pharmacologique (20.1 %). Des événements indésirables se sont produits dans 9.5% des cas : 12.5% dans le contrôle du taux, 13.4% dans la cardioversion électrique et 6.9% dans la cardioversion pharmacologique. Dans l'ensemble, 7.9 % des cas concernaient la sécurité de la direction. Des problèmes de sécurité modérés sont survenus dans 4.9 % des cas, y compris l'incapacité d'atteindre la fréquence cardiaque recommandée au moment du congé (3.9 %). Des préoccupations graves ont été identifiées dans 3.0 % des cas, y compris l'échec à cardiovert patients instables (1.2 %). Le taux de retour aux urgences après 30 jours était de 16,5 % secondaire aux FA/FAT. CONCLUSION: La gestion de l'AF/AFL par le DG était conforme à la liste de vérification du CAEP et était sécuritaire dans l'ensemble. Les possibilités d'optimisation des soins comprennent l'atteinte des cibles recommandées lors du contrôle des taux, l'évitement du canal calcique et des bêtabloquants chez les patients présentant une dysfonction systolique et une cardioversion antérieure pour les patients cliniquement instables.

How well do ED physician practices align with the CAEP acute atrial fibrillation checklist for stroke prevention and disposition?

OBJECTIVES: Acute atrial fibrillation (AF)/flutter (AFL) is a common emergency department (ED) presentation. In 2021, an updated version of CAEP's Acute AF/AFL Best Practices Checklist was published, seeking to guide management. We assessed the alignment with and safety of application of the Checklist, regarding stroke prevention and disposition. METHODS: This health records review included adults presenting to two tertiary care academic EDs between January and August 2022 with a diagnosis of acute AF/AFL. Patients were excluded if their initial heart rate was < 100 or if they were hospitalized. Data extracted included: demographics, CHADS-65 score, clinical characteristics, ED treatment and disposition, and outpatient prescriptions and referrals. Our primary outcome was the proportion of patient encounters with one or more identified safety issues. Each case was assessed according to seven predetermined criteria from elements of the CAEP Checklist and either deemed "safe" or to contain one or more safety issues. We used descriptive statistics with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: 358 patients met inclusion criteria. The mean age was 66.9 years, 59.2% were male and 77.4% patients had at least one of the CHADS-65 criteria. 169 (47.2%) were not already on anticoagulation and 99 (27.6%) were discharged home with a new prescription for anticoagulation. The primary outcome was identified in 6.4% (95% CI 4.3-9.5) of encounters, representing 28 safety issues in 23 individuals. The safety concerns included: failure to prescribe anticoagulation when indicated (n = 6), inappropriate dosing of a direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) (n = 2), inappropriate prescription of rate or rhythm control medication (n = 9), and failure to recommend appropriately timed follow-up for new rate control medication (n = 11). CONCLUSIONS: There was a very high level of ED physician alignment with CAEP's Best Practices Checklist regarding disposition and stroke prevention. There are opportunities to further improve care with respect to recommendation of anticoagulation and reducing inappropriate prescriptions of rate or rhythm medications.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIFS: La fibrillation auriculaire aiguë (FA)/flutter (FAT) est une présentation courante aux urgences (SU). En 2021, une version mise à jour de la liste de vérification des pratiques exemplaires en matière de FA/FAT aiguë du CAEP a été publiée, dans le but de guider la direction. Nous avons évalué l'harmonisation et la sécurité de l'application de la liste de contrôle en ce qui concerne la prévention et la disposition des AVC. MéTHODES: Cet examen des dossiers de santé comprenait des adultes qui se sont présentés à deux urgences universitaires de soins tertiaires entre janvier et août 2022 avec un diagnostic d'AF/AFL aigu. Les patients étaient exclus si leur fréquence cardiaque initiale était inférieure à 100 ou s'ils étaient hospitalisés. Les données extraites comprenaient les données démographiques, le score CHADS-65, les caractéristiques cliniques, le traitement et la disposition des urgences, ainsi que les prescriptions et les références ambulatoires. Notre résultat principal était la proportion de patients qui rencontraient un ou plusieurs problèmes de sécurité identifiés. Chaque cas a été évalué selon sept critères prédéterminés à partir des éléments de la liste de vérification du PPVE et jugé « sécuritaire ¼ ou comportant un ou plusieurs problèmes de sécurité. Nous avons utilisé des statistiques descriptives avec des intervalles de confiance de 95 %. RéSULTATS: 358 patients répondaient aux critères d'inclusion. L'âge moyen était de 66.9 ans, 59.2% étaient des hommes et 77.4% des patients avaient au moins un des critères CHADS-65. 169 (47.2%) n'étaient pas déjà sous anticoagulation et 99 (27.6%) ont été renvoyés à la maison avec une nouvelle prescription d'anticoagulation. Le critère de jugement principal a été identifié dans 6.4 % (IC à 95 % 4.3­9.5) des rencontres, ce qui représente 28 problèmes d'innocuité chez 23 personnes. Parmi les préoccupations en matière d'innocuité, mentionnons l'omission de prescrire un anticoagulant lorsque cela est indiqué (n = 6), l'administration inappropriée d'un anticoagulant oral direct (n = 2), la prescription inappropriée d'un médicament pour contrôler le rythme ou le rythme (n = 9), et l'omission de recommander un suivi bien chronométré vers le haut pour le nouveau médicament de contrôle de taux (n = 11). CONCLUSIONS: Il y avait un très haut niveau d'harmonisation des médecins de l'urgence avec la liste de vérification des pratiques exemplaires de l'ACMU en ce qui concerne la disposition et la prévention des accidents vasculaires cérébraux. Il est possible d'améliorer davantage les soins en ce qui concerne la recommandation d'anticoagulation et de réduire les prescriptions inappropriées de médicaments à taux ou à rythme.

RAFF-5 Study to Improve the Quality and Safety of Care for Patients Seen in the Emergency Department With Acute Atrial Fibrillation and Flutter.

BACKGROUND: We sought to improve the immediate and subsequent care of emergency department (ED) patients with acute atrial fibrillation (AF) and flutter (AFL) by implementing the principles of the Canadian Association of Emergency Physicians AF/AFL Best Practices Checklist. METHODS: This cohort study included 3 periods: before (7 months), intervention introduction (1 month), and after (7 months), and was conducted at a major academic centre. We included patients who presented with an episode of acute AF or AFL and used multiple strategies to support ED adoption of the Canadian Association of Emergency Physicians checklist. We developed new cardiology rapid-access follow-up processes. The main outcomes were unsafe and suboptimal treatments in the ED. RESULTS: We included 1108 patient visits, with 559 in the before and 549 in the after period. In a comparison of the periods, there was an increase in use of chemical cardioversion (20.6% vs 25.0%; absolute difference [AD], 4.4%) and in electrical cardioversion (39.2% vs 51.2%; AD, 12.0%). More patients were discharged with sinus rhythm restored (66.9% vs 75.0%; AD, 8.1%). The proportion seen in a follow-up cardiology clinic increased from 24.2% to 39.9% (AD, 15.7%) and the mean time until seen decreased substantially (103.3 vs 49.0 days; AD, -54.3 days). There were very few unsafe cases (0.4% vs 0.7%) and, although there was an increase in suboptimal care (19.5% vs 23.1%), overall patient outcomes were excellent. CONCLUSIONS: We successfully improved the care for ED patients with acute AF/AFL and achieved more frequent and more rapid cardiology follow-up. Although cases of unsafe management were uncommon and patient outcomes were excellent, there are opportunities for physicians to improve their care of acute AF/AFL patients. GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT05468281.

Multi-phase implementation of automated external defibrillator use by nurses during in-hospital cardiac arrest and its impact on survival.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to evaluate the impact of a medical directive allowing nurses to use defibrillators in automated external defibrillator-mode (AED) on in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) outcomes. METHODS: We completed a health record review of consecutive IHCA for which resuscitation was attempted using a pragmatic multi-phase before-after cohort design. We report Utstein outcomes before (Jan.2012-Aug.2013;Control) the implementation of the AED medical directive following usual practice (Sept.2013-Aug.2016;Phase 1), and following the addition of a theory-based educational video (Sept.2016-Dec.2017;Phase 2). RESULTS: There were 753 IHCA with the following characteristics (Before n = 195; Phase 1n = 372; Phase 2n = 186): mean age 66, 60.0% male, 79.3% witnessed, 29.1% noncardiac-monitored medical ward, 23.9% cardiac cause, and initial ventricular fibrillation/tachycardia (VF/VT) 27.2%. Comparing the Before, Phase 1 and 2: an AED was used 0 time (0.0%), 21 times (5.7%), 15 times (8.1%); mean times to 1st analysis were 7 min, 3 min and 1 min (p < 0.0001); mean times to 1st shock were 12 min, 10 min and 8 min (p = 0.32); return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) was 63.6%, 59.4% and 58.1% (p = 0.77); survival was 24.6%, 21.0% and 25.8% (p = 0.37). Among IHCA in VF/VT (n = 165), time to 1st analysis and 1st shock decreased by 5 min (p = 0.01) and 6 min (p = 0.23), and ROSC and survival increased by 3.0% (p = 0.80) and 15.6% (p = 0.31). There was no survival benefit overall (1.2%; p = 0.37) or within noncardiac-monitored areas (-7.2%; p = 0.24). CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of a medical directive allowing for AED use by nurses successfully improved key outcomes for IHCA victims, particularly following the theory-based education video and among the VF/VT group.

Modern management of acute atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter.

This clinical review is intended to assist emergency physicians manage patients who present to the emergency department (ED) with acute/recent-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) or flutter (AFL). This article is based primarily on the 2021 Canadian Association of Emergency Physicians (CAEP) Acute Atrial Fibrillation/Flutter Best Practices Checklist. We encourage readers to download the open access CAEP Checklist article (https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s43678-021-00167-y) and the free smartphone app (CAEP Atrial Fibrillation Guide). We focus on four key elements of ED care: assessment and risk stratification, rate and rhythm control, short-term and long-term stroke prevention, and disposition and follow-up. It is important to determine if AF/AFL with rapid ventricular response is a primary arrhythmia or secondary to medical causes. While it is unusual for patients with primary AF to be unstable, urgent cardioversion is occasionally required. The criteria for when cardioversion is safe have recently changed and it is essential that physicians are well versed in them. When rhythm control is not safe, provide effective and safe IV rate control. When rhythm control is safe, either pharmacological or electrical cardioversion acceptable, per patient and physician preference. Rapid ventricular pre-excitation (Wolff-Parkinson-White Syndrome) usually, but not always, requires urgent electrical cardioversion. ED physicians should prescribe oral anticoagulants at discharge if indicated. No specific direct oral anticoagulant is preferred, and references should be freely consulted for optimal dosing. Hospital admission is rarely required for acute AF/AFL patients, who should be given good discharge instructions.

Hypotension and respiratory events related to electrical cardioversion for atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter in the emergency department.

INTRODUCTION: Electrical cardioversion for atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter (AF/AFL) is common in the ED. Our previous work showed that hypotension and respiratory events were important adverse events that occurred in patients undergoing electrical cardioversion for AF/AFL. The purpose of this study was to examine if (1) beta-blockers or calcium channel blocker use prior to ECV were associated with hypotension and (2) medications used for procedural sedation were associated with respiratory events. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of pooled study data from four previous multicentred studies on AF/AFL. We conducted a multivariable logistic regression to examine predictors of hypotension and respiratory adverse events. RESULTS: There were 1736 patients who received ECV. A hypotensive event occurred in 62 (3.6%) patients. There was no significant difference in the odds of a hypotensive event in patients who received a beta-blocker or calcium channel blocker in the ED compared to no rate control. Procedural sedation with fentanyl (OR 2.01 95% CI 1.15-3.51) and home beta-blocker use (OR 1.92, 95% CI 1.14-3.21) were significantly associated with hypotensive events. A respiratory event occurred in 179 (10.3%) patients. Older age (OR 2.02, 95% CI 1.30- 3.15) and receiving midazolam for procedural sedation were found to be significantly associated with respiratory events (OR 1.99, 95% CI 1.02-3.88). CONCLUSION: Beta-blocker or calcium channel blocker use prior to ECV for AF/AFL was not associated with hypotension. However, sedation with fentanyl and home beta-blocker use was associated with hypotension. The use of midazolam for procedural sedation was significantly associated with respiratory events.

RéSUMé: INTRODUCTION: La cardioversion électrique pour la fibrillation auriculaire / flutter auriculaire (AF / AFL) est fréquente aux urgences. Nos travaux précédents ont montré que l'hypotension et les événements respiratoires étaient des événements indésirables importants qui se sont produits chez les patients subissant une cardioversion électrique pour AF / AFL. Le but de cette étude était d'examiner si 1) les bêtabloquants ou les inhibiteurs calciques utilisés avant l'ECV étaient associés à l'hypotension et 2) les médicaments utilisés pour la sédation procédurale sont associés à des événements respiratoires. MéTHODES: Il s'agissait d'une analyse secondaire des données d'études regroupées de quatre études multicentriques précédentes sur l'AF/AFL. Nous avons effectué une régression logistique multivariée pour examiner les prédicteurs de l'hypotension et des événements indésirables respiratoires. RéSULTATS: Il y avait 1736 patients qui ont reçu ECV. Un événement hypotenseur s'est produit dans 62 (3,6%) patients. Il n'y avait pas de différence significative dans la probabilité d'un événement hypotenseur chez les patients qui ont reçu un bêtabloquant ou un inhibiteur calcique à l'urgence par rapport à aucun contrôle de taux. La sédation procédurale avec du fentanyl (RC 2,01 à 95 %, IC 1,15 à 3,51) et l'utilisation de bêtabloquants à domicile (RC 1,92, IC à 95 %, 1,14 à 3,21) étaient significativement associées à des événements hypotensifs. Un événement respiratoire est survenu chez 179 (10,3 %) patients. Un âge plus avancé (RC 2,02, IC à 95 % : 1,30 à 3,15) et la réception de midazolam pour sédation procédurale étaient significativement associés à des événements respiratoires (RC 1,99, IC à 95 % 1,02-3,88). CONCLUSIONS: L'utilisation d'un bêtabloquant ou d'un inhibiteur calcique avant l'ECV pour l'AF/AFL n'était pas associée à l'hypotension. Cependant, la sédation avec du fentanyl et l'utilisation de bêtabloquants à domicile étaient associées à l'hypotension. L'utilisation du midazolam pour la sédation procédurale était significativement associée aux événements respiratoires.

Derivation of the Falls Decision Rule to exclude intracranial bleeding without head CT in older adults who have fallen.

BACKGROUND: Ground-level falls are common among older adults and are the most frequent cause of traumatic intracranial bleeding. The aim of this study was to derive a clinical decision rule that safely excludes clinically important intracranial bleeding in older adults who present to the emergency department after a fall, without the need for a computed tomography (CT) scan of the head. METHODS: This prospective cohort study in 11 emergency departments in Canada and the United States enrolled patients aged 65 years or older who presented after falling from standing on level ground, off a chair or toilet seat, or out of bed. We collected data on 17 potential predictor variables. The primary outcome was the diagnosis of clinically important intracranial bleeding within 42 days of the index emergency department visit. An independent adjudication committee, blinded to baseline data, determined the primary outcome. We derived a clinical decision rule using logistic regression. RESULTS: The cohort included 4308 participants, with a median age of 83 years; 2770 (64%) were female, 1119 (26%) took anticoagulant medication and 1567 (36%) took antiplatelet medication. Of the participants, 139 (3.2%) received a diagnosis of clinically important intracranial bleeding. We developed a decision rule indicating that no head CT is required if there is no history of head injury on falling; no amnesia of the fall; no new abnormality on neurologic examination; and the Clinical Frailty Scale score is less than 5. Rule sensitivity was 98.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] 94.9%-99.6%), specificity was 20.3% (95% CI 19.1%-21.5%) and negative predictive value was 99.8% (95% CI 99.2%-99.9%). INTERPRETATION: We derived a Falls Decision Rule, which requires external validation, followed by clinical impact assessment. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials. gov, no. NCT03745755.

A Hospital-Wide Open-Label Cluster Crossover Pragmatic Comparative Effectiveness Randomized Trial Comparing Normal Saline to Ringer's Lactate: Protocol and Statistical Analysis Plan of The FLUID Trial.

BACKGROUND: Normal saline (NS) and Ringer's lactate (RL) are the most common crystalloids given to hospitalized patients. Despite concern about possible harm associated with NS (eg, hyperchloremic metabolic acidosis, impaired kidney function, and death), few large multicenter randomized trials focused on critically ill patients have compared these fluids. Uncertainty exists about the effects of these fluids on clinically important outcomes across all hospitalized patients. OBJECTIVE: The FLUID trial is a pragmatic, multicenter, 2×2 cluster crossover comparative effectiveness randomized trial that aims to evaluate the effectiveness of a hospital-wide policy that stocks either NS or RL as the main crystalloid fluid in 16 hospitals across Ontario, Canada. METHODS: All hospitalized adult and pediatric patients (anticipated sample size 144,000 patients) with an incident admission to the hospital over the course of each study period will be included. Either NS or RL will be preferentially stocked throughout the hospital for 12 weeks before crossing to the alternate fluid for the subsequent 12 weeks. The primary outcome is a composite of death and hospital readmission within 90 days of hospitalization. Secondary outcomes include death, hospital readmission, dialysis, reoperation, postoperative reintubation, length of hospital stay, emergency department visits, and discharge to a facility other than home. All outcomes will be obtained from health administrative data, eliminating the need for individual case reports. The primary analysis will use cluster-level summaries to estimate cluster-average treatment effects. RESULTS: The statistical analysis plan has been prepared "a priori" in advance of receipt of the trial data set from ICES and any analyses. CONCLUSIONS: We describe the protocol and statistical analysis plan for the evaluation of primary and secondary outcomes for the FLUID trial. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04512950; https://classic.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04512950. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): DERR1-10.2196/51783.

Machine learning for the diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome using a 12-lead ECG: a systematic review.

OBJECTIVES: Prompt diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) using a 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is a critical task for emergency physicians. While computerized algorithms for ECG interpretation are limited in their accuracy, machine learning (ML) models have shown promise in several areas of clinical medicine. We performed a systematic review to compare the performance of ML-based ECG analysis to clinician or non-ML computerized ECG interpretation in the diagnosis of ACS for emergency department (ED) or prehospital patients. METHODS: We searched Medline, Embase, Cochrane Central, and CINAHL databases from inception to May 18, 2022. We included studies that compared ML algorithms to either clinicians or non-ML based software in their ability to diagnose ACS using only a 12-lead ECG, in adult patients experiencing chest pain or symptoms concerning for ACS in the ED or prehospital setting. We used QUADAS-2 for risk of bias assessment. Prospero registration CRD42021264765. RESULTS: Our search yielded 1062 abstracts. 10 studies met inclusion criteria. Five model types were tested, including neural networks, random forest, and gradient boosting. In five studies with complete performance data, ML models were more sensitive but less specific (sensitivity range 0.59-0.98, specificity range 0.44-0.95) than clinicians (sensitivity range 0.22-0.93, specificity range 0.63-0.98) in diagnosing ACS. In four studies that reported it, ML models had better discrimination (area under ROC curve range 0.79-0.98) than clinicians (area under ROC curve 0.67-0.78). Heterogeneity in both methodology and reporting methods precluded a meta-analysis. Several studies had high risk of bias due to patient selection, lack of external validation, and unreliable reference standards for ACS diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: ML models have overall higher discrimination and sensitivity but lower specificity than clinicians and non-ML software in ECG interpretation for the diagnosis of ACS. ML-based ECG interpretation could potentially serve a role as a "safety net", alerting emergency care providers to a missed acute MI when it has not been diagnosed. More rigorous primary research is needed to definitively demonstrate the ability of ML to outperform clinicians at ECG interpretation.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIFS: Le diagnostic rapide du syndrome coronarien aigu (SCA) à l'aide d'un électrocardiogramme à 12 dérivations (ECG) est une tâche essentielle pour les urgentologues. Bien que la précision des algorithmes informatisés pour l'interprétation de l'ECG soit limitée, les modèles d'apprentissage automatique (ML) se sont révélés prometteurs dans plusieurs domaines de la médecine clinique. Nous avons effectué une revue systématique pour comparer la performance de l'analyse ECG basée sur le ML à l'interprétation ECG informatisée clinicienne ou non-ML dans le diagnostic du SCA pour les urgences (ED) ou les patients préhospitaliers. MéTHODES: Nous avons effectué des recherches dans les bases de données Medline, Embase, Cochrane Central et CINAHL de la création au 18 mai 2022. Nous avons inclus des études qui comparaient les algorithmes de ML à des cliniciens ou à des logiciels non basés sur ML dans leur capacité à diagnostiquer le SCA en utilisant uniquement un ECG à 12 dérivations, chez des patients adultes présentant des douleurs thoraciques ou des symptômes concernant le SCA dans le cadre de l'urgence ou préhospitalier. Nous avons utilisé QUADAS-2 pour l'évaluation du risque de biais. Prospero registration CRD42021264765. RéSULTATS: Notre recherche a donné 1062 résumés. 10 études satisfaisaient aux critères d'inclusion. Cinq types de modèles ont été testés, dont les réseaux neuronaux, la forêt aléatoire et le gradient boosting. Dans cinq études avec des données de performance complètes, les modèles de ML étaient plus sensibles mais moins spécifiques (plage de sensibilité 0,59-0,98, plage de spécificité 0,44-0,95) que les cliniciens (plage de sensibilité 0,22-0,93, plage de spécificité 0,63-0,98) dans le diagnostic du SCA. Dans quatre études qui l'ont rapporté, les modèles de ML avaient une meilleure discrimination (zone sous la courbe ROC plage 0,79-0,98) que les cliniciens (zone sous la courbe ROC 0,67-0,78). L'hétérogénéité de la méthodologie et des méthodes de déclaration a empêché une méta-analyse. Plusieurs études présentaient un risque élevé de biais en raison de la sélection des patients, du manque de validation externe et de normes de référence peu fiables pour le diagnostic du SCA. CONCLUSIONS: Les modèles de ML ont globalement une discrimination et une sensibilité plus élevées mais une spécificité plus faible que les cliniciens et les logiciels non-ML dans l'interprétation de l'ECG pour le diagnostic du SCA. L'interprétation de l'ECG basée sur le ML pourrait servir de « filet de sécurité ¼, alertant les fournisseurs de soins d'urgence d'une IM aiguë manquée lorsqu'elle n'a pas été diagnostiquée. Des recherches primaires plus rigoureuses sont nécessaires pour démontrer définitivement la capacité du ML à surpasser les cliniciens lors de l'interprétation de l'ECG.

Outcomes of acute heart failure patients managed in the emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Acute heart failure is a serious condition commonly seen in the emergency department (ED). The HEARTRISK6 Scale has been recently developed to identify the risk of poor outcomes but has not been tested. We sought to describe the management and outcomes of ED patients with acute heart failure and to evaluate the potential impact of the HEARTRISK6 Scale. METHODS: We conducted a health records review of 300 consecutive acute heart failure patients presenting to two tertiary care EDs. Two evaluators abstracted clinical variables, ED management and treatment details, and patient outcomes using the electronic health records platform (EPIC) and attending physicians verified the data. The primary outcome measure was a short-term serious outcome, as shown in Results. In addition, the HEARTRISK6 score was calculated retrospectively. RESULTS: We included 300 patients with mean age of 78.5 years, 51.0% male, 56.3% arrival by ambulance, and 67.0% admitted to hospital. 25.3% experienced a short-term serious outcome 1) after admission (N = 201): non-invasive ventilation 14.9%, intubation 1.5%, major cardiac procedure 5.0%, myocardial infarction 2.0%, death 8.5%; 2) after ED discharge (N = 99): return to ED 21.2%, death 4.0%. Those initially admitted experienced a much higher proportion of serious outcomes compared to those discharged (29.9% vs. 16.2%). A HEARTRISK6 Scale cut-point score of ≥ 1 would have had a sensitivity of 91.0%, specificity 24.5%, and negative likelihood ratio 0.37 for short-term serious outcomes and suggested hospital admission for 80.7% of cases. CONCLUSION: There was a large range of severity of illness of acute heart failure patients and a wide variety of treatments were administered in the ED. Both admitted and discharged patients experienced a high proportion of poor outcomes. The HEARTRISK6 Scale showed a high sensitivity for short-term serious outcomes but with the potential to increase hospital admissions. Further validation of the HEARTRISK6 Scale is required before routine clinical use.

RéSUMé: ARRIèRE-PLAN: L'insuffisance cardiaque aiguë est une affection grave couramment observée à l'urgence. L'échelle HEARTRISK6 a été mise au point récemment pour identifier le risque de mauvais résultats, mais n'a pas été testée. Nous avons cherché à décrire la prise en charge et les résultats des patients atteints d'insuffisance cardiaque aiguë et à évaluer l'impact potentiel de l'échelle HEARTRISK6. MéTHODES: Nous avons effectué un examen des dossiers de santé de 300 patients atteints d'insuffisance cardiaque aiguë consécutifs qui se présentaient à deux SU de soins tertiaires. Deux évaluateurs ont résumé les variables cliniques, les détails de la gestion et du traitement des SU et les résultats pour les patients à l'aide de la plateforme de dossiers de santé électroniques (EPIC). et les médecins traitants ont vérifié les données. La principale mesure des résultats était le résultat grave à court terme, comme le montrent les résultats. De plus, le score HEARTRISK6 a été calculé rétrospectivement. RéSULTATS: Nous avons inclus 300 patients âgés en moyenne de 78,5 ans, 51,0 % d'hommes, 56,3 % d'arrivées par ambulance et 67,0 % d'hospitalisations. 25,3 % ont connu un résultat grave à court terme 1) après l'admission (N=201) : ventilation non invasive 14,9 %, intubation 1,5 %, procédure cardiaque majeure 5,0 %, infarctus du myocarde 2,0 %, décès 8,5 %; 2) après le congé de l'urgence (N=99) : retour à l'urgence 21,2 %, décès 4,0 %. Les personnes admises au départ ont connu une proportion beaucoup plus élevée de résultats graves que les personnes libérées (29,9 % contre 16,2 %). Une note de seuil de 1 sur l'échelle HEARTRISK6 aurait eu une sensibilité de 91,0 %, une spécificité de 24,5 % et un ratio de probabilité négatif de 0,37 pour les résultats graves à court terme et une admission à l'hôpital suggérée pour 80,7 % des cas. CONCLUSION: Il y avait un large éventail de gravité de la maladie des patients atteints d'insuffisance cardiaque aiguë et une grande variété de traitements ont été administrés à l'urgence. Les patients admis et libérés ont connu une forte proportion de mauvais résultats. L'échelle HEARTRISK6 a montré une sensibilité élevée pour les résultats graves à court terme, mais avec le potentiel d'augmenter les admissions à l'hôpital. Une validation plus poussée de l'échelle HEARTRISK6 est nécessaire avant l'utilisation clinique de routine.

Ninety-Day Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack Recurrence in Patients Prescribed Anticoagulation in the Emergency Department With Atrial Fibrillation and a New Transient Ischemic Attack or Minor Stroke.

Background For patients with atrial fibrillation seen in the emergency department (ED) following a transient ischemic attack (TIA) or minor stroke, the impact of initiating oral anticoagulation immediately rather than deferring the decision to outpatient follow-up is unknown. Methods and Results We conducted a planned secondary data analysis of a prospective cohort of 11 507 adults in 13 Canadian EDs between 2006 and 2018. Patients were eligible if they were aged 18 years or older, with a final diagnosis of TIA or minor stroke with previously documented or newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation. The primary outcome was subsequent stroke, recurrent TIA, or all-cause mortality within 90 days of the index TIA diagnosis. Secondary outcomes included stroke, recurrent TIA, or death and rates of major bleeding. Of 11 507 subjects with TIA/minor stroke, atrial fibrillation was identified in 11.2% (1286, mean age, 77.3 [SD 11.1] years, 52.4% male). Over half (699; 54.4%) were already taking anticoagulation, 89 (6.9%) were newly prescribed anticoagulation in the ED. By 90 days, 4.0% of the atrial fibrillation cohort had experienced a subsequent stroke, 6.5% subsequent TIA, and 2.6% died. Results of a multivariable logistic regression indicate no association between prescribed anticoagulation in the ED and these 90-day outcomes (composite odds ratio, 1.37 [95% CI, 0.74-2.52]). Major bleeding was found in 5 patients, none of whom were in the ED-initiated anticoagulation group. Conclusions Initiating oral anticoagulation in the ED following new TIA was not associated with lower recurrence rates of neurovascular events or all-cause mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation.

Persistently High Rates of Abdominal Computed Tomography Imaging Among Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease Who Present to the Emergency Department.

Background: Recent guidelines recommended judicious use of abdominal computed tomography (CT) in the emergency department (ED) for inflammatory bowel disease. Trends in CT utilization over the last decade, including since the implementation of these guidelines, remain unknown. Methods: We performed a single-centre, retrospective study between 2009 and 2018 to assess trends in CT utilization within 72 h of an ED encounter. Changes in the annual rates of CT imaging among adults with IBD were estimated by Poisson regression and CT findings by Cochran-Armitage or Cochran-Mantel Haenszel tests. Results: A total of 3000 abdominal CT studies were performed among 14,783 ED encounters. CT utilization increased annually by 2.7% in Crohn's disease (CD) (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2 to 4.3; P = 0.0004), 4.2% in ulcerative colitis (UC) (95% CI, 1.7 to 6.7; P = 0.0009) and 6.3% in IBD unclassifiable (95% CI, 2.5 to 10.0; P = 0.0011). Among encounters with gastrointestinal symptoms, 60% with CD and 33% with UC underwent CT imaging in the final year of the study. Urgent CT findings (obstruction, phlegmon, abscess or perforation) and urgent penetrating findings alone (phlegmon, abscess or perforation) comprised 34% and 11% of CD findings, and 25% and 6% of UC findings, respectively. The CT findings remained stable overtime for both CD (P = 0.13) and UC (P = 0.17). Conclusion: Our study demonstrated persistently high rates of CT utilization among patients with IBD who presented to the ED over the last decade. Approximately one third of scans demonstrated urgent findings, with a minority demonstrating urgent penetrating findings. Future studies should aim to identify patients in whom CT imaging is most appropriate.

Cervical spine injuries in adults ≥ 65 years after low-level falls - A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Adults ≥ 65 are at risk of cervical spine (C-spine) injury, even after low-level falls. The objectives of this systematic review were to determine the prevalence of C-spine injury in this population and explore the association of unreliable clinical exam with C-spine injury. METHODS: We conducted this systematic review according to PRISMA guidelines. We searched MEDLINE, PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Database of Systematic reviews to include studies reporting on C-spine injury in adults ≥ 65 years after low-level falls. Two reviewers independently screened articles, abstracted data, and assessed bias. Discrepancies were resolved by a third reviewer. A meta-analysis was performed to estimate overall prevalence and the pooled odds ratio for the association between C-spine injury and an unreliable clinical exam. RESULTS: The search identified 2044citations, 138 full texts were screened, and 21 studies were included in the systematic review. C-spine injury prevalence in adults ≥ 65 years after low-level falls was 3.8% (95% CI: 2.8-5.3). The odds of c-spine injury in those with altered level of consciousness (aLOC) v/s not aLOC was 1.21 (0.90-1.63) and in those with GCS < 15 v/s GCS 15 was 1.62 (0.37-6.98). Studies were at a low-risk of bias, although some had low recruitment and significant loss to follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Adults ≥ 65 years are at risk of cervical spine injury after low-level falls. More research is needed to determine whether there is an association between cervical spine injury and GCS < 15 or altered level of consciousness.

Diagnosis and management of patients who present with narrow complex tachycardia in the emergency department.

INTRODUCTION: While narrow complex tachycardia (NCT) is a common presentation to the emergency department (ED), little is known about its incidence in the ED or about emergency physician expertise in its diagnosis and management. We sought to compare cases of NCT due to primary arrhythmias to those with a rapid heart rate secondary to a medical issue, as well as to determine the accuracy of ED physician diagnosis and appropriateness of treatment. METHODS: We conducted a health records review at a large academic hospital ED staffed by 95 physicians and included consecutive adult patients over 7 months (2020-2021) with NCT (heart rate ≥ 130 bpm and QRS < 120 ms). Cases were reviewed for accuracy of ECG diagnosis and for correctness of treatment as per guidelines by an adjudication committee. RESULTS: We identified 310 ED visits (0.8% of all ED visits), mean age 65.1 years, 52.6% female. Primary arrhythmias accounted for 54.8%. ED physicians correctly interpreted 86.6% of ECGs. The most common arrhythmias and accuracy of ED physician ECG interpretation were atrial fibrillation 44.5% (95.1%), sinus tachycardia 24.2% (90.5%), atrial flutter 15.8% (61.5%), and supraventricular tachycardia (SVT) 12.9% (81.6%). Treatments were judged optimal in 96.5% of primary NCT and 99.3% in secondary NCT. Treatments were suboptimal for failure to reduce heart rate < 100 bpm prior to discharge in 2.1% of primary cases and failure to treat underlying cause in 0.7% of secondary cases. CONCLUSION: NCT was found in 0.8% of all ED visits, with more being primary NCT. ED physicians correctly interpreted 86.6% of ECGs but had difficulty differentiating atrial flutter and SVT. They implemented appropriate care in most cases but sometimes failed to adequately control heart rate or to treat the underlying condition, suggesting opportunities to improve care of NCT in the ED.

RéSUMé: INTRODUCTION: Bien que la tachycardie à complexe QRS étroite (narrow complex tachycardia [NCT]) soit une présentation courante au service des urgences (SU), on sait peu de choses sur son incidence dans le SU ou sur l'expertise des médecins urgentistes dans son diagnostic et sa prise en charge. Nous avons cherché à comparer les cas de NCT dus à des arythmies primaires à ceux avec une fréquence cardiaque rapide secondaire à un problème médical, ainsi que pour déterminer l'exactitude du diagnostic de médecin ED et la pertinence du traitement. MéTHODES: Nous avons effectué un examen des dossiers médicaux dans les urgences d'un grand hôpital universitaire où travaillent 95 médecins et avons inclus des patients adultes consécutifs sur 7 mois (2020-2021) présentant une NCT (fréquence cardiaque ≥ 130 bpm et QRS < 120 ms). Les cas ont été examinés par un comité d'adjudication pour vérifier l'exactitude du diagnostic ECG et la justesse du traitement conformément aux directives. RéSULTATS: Nous avons recensé 310 visites aux urgences (0,8 % de toutes les visites aux urgences), l'âge moyen étant de 65,1 ans, 52,6 % de femmes. Les arythmies primaires représentaient 54,8 %. Les médecins urgentistes ont correctement interprété 86,6 % des ECG. Les arythmies les plus fréquentes et la précision de l'interprétation de l'ECG par le médecin de l'urgence étaient la fibrillation auriculaire 44,5 % (95,1 %), la tachycardie sinusale 24,2 % (90,5 %), le flutter auriculaire 15,8 % (61,5 %) et la tachycardie supraventriculaire (TSV) 12,9 % (81,6 %). Les traitements ont été jugés optimaux dans 96,5 % des NCT primaires et 99,3 % des NCT secondaires. Les traitements étaient sous-optimaux en raison de l'incapacité à réduire la fréquence cardiaque < 100 bpm avant la sortie de l'hôpital dans 2,1 % des cas primaires et de l'incapacité à traiter la cause sous-jacente dans 0,7 % des cas secondaires. CONCLUSION: Une NCT a été constatée dans 0,8 % de toutes les visites aux urgences, la plupart étant des NCT primaires. Les médecins des services d'urgence ont interprété correctement 86,6 % des ECG mais ont eu des difficultés à différencier le flutter auriculaire et la TSV. Ils ont mis en œuvre des soins appropriés dans la plupart des cas, mais n'ont parfois pas réussi à contrôler adéquatement la fréquence cardiaque ou à traiter l'affection sous-jacente, ce qui laisse entrevoir des possibilités d'améliorer la prise en charge des NCT aux urgences.

FLUID trial: a hospital-wide open-label cluster cross-over pragmatic comparative effectiveness randomised pilot trial comparing normal saline to Ringer's lactate.

OBJECTIVES: Normal saline (NS) and Ringer's lactate (RL) are the most common crystalloids used for fluid therapy. Despite evidence of possible harm associated with NS (eg, hyperchloremic metabolic acidosis, impaired kidney function and death), few large multi-centre randomised trials have evaluated the effect of these fluids on clinically important outcomes. We conducted a pilot trial to explore the feasibility of a large trial powered for clinically important outcomes. DESIGN: FLUID was a pragmatic pilot cluster randomised cross-over trial. SETTING: Four hospitals in the province of Ontario, Canada PARTICIPANTS: All hospitalised adult and paediatric patients with an incident admission to the hospital over the course of each study period. INTERVENTIONS: A hospital wide policy/strategy which stocked either NS or RL throughout the hospital for 12 weeks before crossing over to the alternate fluid for the subsequent 12 weeks. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary feasibility outcome was study fluid protocol adherence. Secondary feasibility outcomes included time to Research Ethics Board (REB) approval and trial initiation. Primary (composite of death or re-admission to hospital in first 90 days of index hospitalisation) and secondary clinical outcomes were analysed descriptively. RESULTS: Among 24 905 included patients, mean age 59.1 (SD 20.5); 13 977 (56.1%) were female and 21 150 (85.0%) had medical or surgical admitting diagnoses. Overall, 96 821 L were administered in the NS arm, and 78 348 L in the RL arm. Study fluid adherence to NS and RL was 93.7% (site range: 91.6%-98.0%) and 79.8% (site range: 72.5%-83.9%), respectively. Time to REB approval ranged from 2 to 48 days and readiness for trial initiation from 51 to 331 days. 5544 (22.3%) patients died or required hospital re-admission in the first 90 days. CONCLUSIONS: The future large trial is feasible. Anticipating and addressing logistical challenges during the planning stages will be imperative. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02721485.

Prospective Validation of Computed Tomography to Identify Patients at High Risk for Stroke After Transient Ischemic Attack or Minor Stroke.

BACKGROUND: Computed tomography (CT) findings of acute and chronic ischemia are associated with subsequent stroke risk in patients with transient ischemic attack. We sought to validate these associations in a large prospective cohort of patients with transient ischemic attack or minor stroke. METHODS: This prospective cohort study enrolled emergency department patients from 13 hospitals with transient ischemic attack who had CT imaging. Primary outcome was stroke within 90 days. Secondary outcomes were stroke within 2 or 7 days. CT findings were abstracted from radiology reports and classified for the presence of acute ischemia, chronic ischemia, or microangiopathy. Multivariable logistic regression was used to test associations with primary and secondary end points. RESULTS: From 8670 prospectively enrolled patients between May 2010 and May 2017, 8382 had a CT within 24 hours. From this total population, 4547 (54%) patients had evidence of acute ischemia, chronic ischemia, or microangiopathy on CT, of whom 175 had a subsequent stroke within 90 days (3.8% subsequent stroke rate; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.33 [95% CI, 1.62-3.36]). This was in comparison to those with CT imaging without ischemia. Findings associated with an increased risk of stroke at 90 days were isolated acute ischemia (6.0%; aOR, 2.42 [95% CI, 1.03-5.66]), acute ischemia with microangiopathy (10.7%; aOR, 3.34 [95% CI, 1.57-7.14]), chronic ischemia with microangiopathy (5.2%; aOR, 1.83 [95% CI, 1.34-2.50]), and acute ischemia with chronic ischemia and microangiopathy (10.9%; aOR, 3.49 [95% CI, 1.54-7.91]). Acute ischemia with chronic ischemia and microangiopathy were most strongly associated with subsequent stroke within 2 days (aOR, 4.36 [95% CI, 1.31-14.54]) and 7 days (aOR, 4.50 [95% CI, 1.73-11.69]). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with transient ischemic attack or minor stroke, CT evidence of acute ischemia with chronic ischemia or microangiopathy significantly increases the risk of subsequent stroke within 90 days of index visit. The combination of all 3 findings results in the greatest early risk.